Today in a Morning Line:
- President Obama’s been mostly absent from a pivotal Senate races, opting for liberal-leaning states
- Hillary Clinton, Elizabeth Warren, on a other hand, are in a pivotal states
- Not odd for presidents in a second tenure to not be acquire campaigners
- Like Ike? Not in 1958. The midterm that set a theatre for a Great Society measures
Obama’s blue-state push: President Obama mostly has been blank from a debate route during this 2014 campaign. His unpopularity, sitting during about a 40 percent capitulation rating, is during about a lowest indicate of his presidency. And a places where this debate is personification out, where a many rival Senate races are, are in states he mislaid by double-digits during a 2012 presidential election. So over this final week, a boss has been relegated to campaigning in places he is renouned — blue states — and mostly for Democratic gubernatorial candidates, not Democrats in tighten Senate races. Last night, a boss rallied during a propagandize in Milwaukee for Democratic gubernatorial claimant Mary Burke, who is in a parsimonious competition with Republican obligatory Wisconsin Gov. Scott Walker, a intensity 2016 contender. As a Washington Post’s Katie Zezima remarkable Tuesday, “All of a places [Obama] visits will have during slightest one thing in common — a same thing all his tumble stops have shared: they are places where people like him. Really, unequivocally like him.”
Playing it safe: For example, “Of a 850 votes expel in a school’s Milwaukee sentinel final year, 843 of them were for Obama,” Zezima wrote. “To put Obama’s week in some perspective, a stop on his channel where he had a slightest support in 2012 is Portland, Maine,” where “he got usually 75 percent of a opinion in that magnanimous stronghold, in a state that twice inaugurated him.” White House Press Secretary Josh Earnest attempted to put his best spin on it before a doubtful White House press corps. “There are so many stops that we have to demeanour adult accurately where a President is traveling,” Earnest said. That drew laughter. Just how poisonous is President Obama in these red-state Senate races? Hillary Clinton is in Iowa today, and while President Obama is in Michigan Saturday, Clinton will be in Kentucky and Louisiana](http://www.nola.com/politics/index.ssf/2014/10/marylandrieuhillary_clinton.html) before streamer to New Hampshire Sunday. Even Sen. Elizabeth Warren, a Massachusetts populist firebrand, was in Kentucky Tuesday, New Hampshire Saturday, and Iowa and Colorado before that. Jon Stewart called all this Democratic enmity from Obama, “POTUS-Partum Depression.” Here’s where a president’s been recently and where he’s going:
Sunday, Oct. 19: Chicago State University for Illinois Gov. Pat Quinn and Maryland for gubernatorial carefree Anthony Brown
Tuesday, Oct. 28: Milwaukee for gubernatorial claimant Mary Burke
Thursday, Oct. 30: Obama in Portland, Maine, for gubernatorial claimant Mike Michaud, and Providence, Rhode Island (with First Lady Michelle Obama), where there’s a governor’s and mayor’s race. He permitted Providence mayoral claimant Jorge Elorza, who’s regulating opposite twice-convicted law-breaker and former mayor Buddy Cianci. Obama stays in Rhode Island Friday for remarks on a economy and women during Rhode Island College
Saturday, Nov. 1: Michigan with Senate claimant Gary Peters
Sunday, Nov. 2: Philadelphia for Tom Wolf regulating for administrator and Connecticut for embattled Gov. Dan Malloy
Hardly an chronological aberration: So what’s going on here? Is President Obama so poisonous that he is distinct past presidents? Not quite. First, like we remarkable above, there are a fundamentals of this election. Despite being reelected in 2012, he mislaid a many rival states where a hottest Senate races are being run by double-digits to Mitt Romney. Plus, there is law to a so called six-year itch. Seven presidents have been reelected given a Great Depression, and in those second terms, a president’s celebration has mislaid an normal of 26 House seats and 7 Senate seats. The misfortune second midterm for any boss given WWII was Dwight Eisenhower’s. And it’s a sign that, even then, “small-ball” issues dominated news of a day and gathering politics. Eisenhower’s “problems enclosed influence-peddling charges opposite his White House arch of staff, inhabitant disappointment over Soviet gains in space and barb record and a sour mercantile recession,” [notes a Senate Historical Office]https://www.senate.gov/artandhistory/history/minute/MidtermRevolution.htm) of a 1958 “Mid-Term Revolution.” The 13 seats gained by Democrats was and still is a single-largest benefit by one celebration of Senate seats. That choosing gave Democrats a 64-36 infancy and laid a substructure for a Great Society measures of a 1960s.
Six-Year Itch? Results for a president’s celebration given a Great Depression in a second midterm
1938 FDR -55 House, -6 Senate
1950 Truman -29 House, -6 Senate
1958 Eisenhower -48 House, -13 Senate
1986 Reagan -5 House, -8 Senate
1998 Clinton +5 House, No change in Senate
2006 Bush -30 House, -6 Senate
AVG: -26 House, -6.5 Senate
Quote of a day: “Because early voting runs by this Friday, we don’t have to wait compartment Election Day — we can opinion all week. we mean, we can usually opinion once. This isn’t Chicago, now. I’m teasing Chicago. I’m messing with you. That was a prolonged time ago,” President Obama to a convene in Milwaukee, Wisc., for Burke.
Daily Presidential Trivia: On this day in 1901, Leon Czolgosz, a murderer of President McKinley, was electrocuted. Where was President McKinley assassinated? Be a initial to chatter us a scold answer regulating #PoliticsTrivia and you’ll get a Morning Line shout-out. No one guessed Tuesday’s trivia: What request is stamped on a Statue of Liberty’s inscription and who was a principal author? The answer was: Jul 4, 1776, representing a Declaration of Independence, created by Pres. Thomas Jefferson.
President Obama on Tuesday had oppressive difference for policies that quarantine medical workers returning from Ebola-affected countries, though he stopped brief of directly criticizing New York Gov. Andrew Cuomo and New Jersey Gov. Chris Christie. On Wednesday, a boss will accommodate during a White House with doctors and open health workers who have usually returned from or will shortly be treating Ebola patients overseas.
Iowa Republican Joni Ernst leads Democratic Rep. Bruce Braley 49 percent to 45 percent in a Quinnipiac poll expelled Wednesday.
Iowa is one of dual states that has never sent a lady to Washington or inaugurated a womanlike governor, though breaking that potion ceiling is not partial of Ernst’s “mother, soldier, leader” summary to Iowans.
Thanks to clever support from masculine expected voters, Colorado Republican Bob Beauprez has a 45 to 40 percent advantage over Democratic Gov. John Hickenlooper in a Quinnipiac poll expelled Wednesday.
Connecticut Gov. Dannel Malloy and Republican Tom Foley are tied 43 to 43 percent with a Independent during 7 percent in a Quinnipiac poll expelled Wednesday.
Alaska Sen. Mark Begich’s debate has now spent some-more income touting Libertarian candidate Mark Fish than Fish has spent on himself.
The leaders of a dual Senate debate committees, Sen. Michael Bennet, D-Colo., and Sen. Jerry Moran, R-Kan., are bustling fighting for control of a Senate, though they’re also perplexing to urge seats in their possess backyards for comparison Sens. Mark Udall and Pat Roberts.
Lobbyists are regulating debate contributions and intemperate gifts to influence state attorneys general.
Rep. Michael Grimm, R-N.Y., competence have been indicted on mixed depends of rascal and taxation semblance this year, though one of his congressional buddies is saving a chair for Grimm on a Financial Services Committee.
The questioner heading a Department of Homeland Security’s exploration into a Secret Service’s 2012 harlotry liaison quiescent this summer over his possess harlotry scandal.
Voters in Oregon, Alaska and Washington, D.C., could yield a second call of pot legalization subsequent week.
Senate Minority Leader Mitch McConnell says a repeal of a Affordable Care Act won’t occur anytime soon, even if a Republicans do take over a Senate.
Eli Stokols, a contributor and anchor for Denver’s KDVR-TV, explains, from a internal viewpoint in Politico Magazine, how Democrats came to be on a defensive in Colorado.
If Wisconsin Gov. Scott Walker manages to reason onto his seat, it will be a covenant to a divide-and-conquer plan he’s used given 2010, though it will also be a thoughtfulness of Walker’s possess lowered expectations; instead of creation Wisconsin an instance of regressive reform, he will have hardly hold on.
After subsequent week, the GOP could control even more than a 59 of 98 narrow-minded legislative chambers (in 49 states) it already controls.
The Supreme Court will shortly hear a high-profile box opposite a United Parcel Service for denying proxy light-duty assignment to a profound worker. But UPS has now altered their policy, nonetheless they say that it wasn’t wrong during a time, so they shouldn’t be on a offshoot for damages.
Georgia Republicans aren’t happy about the permit plate on Democrat Jason Carter’s debate bus.
Will we be seeing some-more of Sarah Palin?
Bill de Blasio’s Halloween dress is a sea aristocrat of sorts. pic.twitter.com/pDp1hfu8zp
— Mike Grynbaum (@grynbaum) October 28, 2014
— Jim Roberts (@nycjim) October 29, 2014
For some-more domestic coverage, revisit our politics page.
Sign adult here to accept a Morning Line in your inbox each morning.
Questions or comments? Email Domenico Montanaro during dmontanaro-at-newshour-dot-org or Rachel Wellford during rwellford-at-newshour-dot-org.
Follow a politics group on Twitter: