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Dolphins-Patriots Thursday Night Football preview: 5 pivotal stats to know

Dolphins-Patriots Thursday Night Football preview: 5 pivotal stats to know

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October 28, 2015 3:51 PM ET

After compelling Dan Campbell to conduct manager following a exclusion of Joe Philbin, a Miami Dolphins (3-3) demeanour like a contenders we suspicion they would be all season, and a Tom Brady-led New England Patriots, well, during 6-0, they’re a standard Tom Brady-led Patriots.

Even with a three-game multiplication lead on New England’s Thursday Night Football opponent, Bill Belichick wants to frustrate Miami’s call of momentum, and a Dolphins are looking to make things some-more engaging in a AFC East.

Here are 5 modernized stats we absolutely, definitely need to know for this intriguing local clash.

1. The YAC masters

In today’s NFL, yards after a locate are paramount. Quarterbacks are not customarily throwing more, though they’re throwing it shorter and removing a round out quicker in a common bid to boost execution percentages, prominence pass-catchers’ athleticism and annul a oppositions’ pass rush.

That said, receivers who surpass after a locate are some-more profitable than ever.

And this Dolphins-Patriots showdown will underline dual of a NFL’s many fugitive YAC wideouts.

Landry was generally energetic with a round in his hands in Week 7’s dispersion of a Houston Texans — he amassed 75 yards after a catch.

Edelman has during slightest 40 yards after a locate in 3 opposite games, and he had a beast 80-YAC tour in a feat over a Cowboys in Week 5.

No doubt about it, Landry and Edelman are wiggly container receivers who aren’t accurately easy to locate and tackle in a open field. Their elusiveness should be a vital cause in this game.

Julian Edelman has proven to be one of a some-more fugitive receivers after a catch. (USATSI)

2. Tough to move to a turf

When we consider of a using behind who’s tough to move down, we now prognosticate a big, bruising ball-carrier who drags defenders for additional yardage or simply runs by diseased arm-tackle attempts during a second turn (see Marshawn Lynch).

While energy backs are customarily flattering good during removing yards after they’re hit, some speed backs can be effective after hit as well.

Look no serve than a Dolphins’ Lamar Miller, who now is tops in a joining in yards after hit per rush.

Notice 5-foot-8, 195-pound Patriots scatback Dion Lewis during No. 4.

While all eyes will be focused on Brady and Dolphins quarterback Ryan Tannehill, both teams’ flexible using backs should play poignant roles.

Also, no one will enviousness a Dolphins and Patriots linebackers, who will be tasked with perplexing to tackle these dual electric runners in space.

Lamar Miller is now a NFL’s best during gaining yards after initial contact. (USATSI)

3. Red section efficiency

For years, a Patriots have been among a many fit teams in a red zone. Heck, given 2010, Tom Brady has 159 touchdowns to usually 10 interceptions inside a opponent’s 20-yard line.

In fact, during home during that stretch, Brady has 92 touchdowns and customarily 3 picks in a red zone.

Beyond that, Rob Gronkowski has held 50 touchdowns from Brady inside a red section in his career.

New England hasn’t mislaid a step inside a 20 this season, either.

While a Dolphins haven’t been porous as a invulnerability when a antithesis gets close, ranking 20th in red-zone invulnerability doesn’t accurately bode good for this matchup.

They’ll need to be intensely vigourous when a Patriots get inside a 20 or New England could run divided with this one.

When it comes to red-zone efficiency, Tom Brady and a Patriots are tough to stop. (USATSI)

4. Sleeper receiver

Landry has been a timber for a Dolphins in his second season, and a presentation of Miller has led to deserved inhabitant praise.

But don’t forget about Rishard Matthews, mostly an afterthought who has arguably been a many fit Miami pass-catcher in 2015.

Check where he ranks in PFF’s Yards Per Route Run metric.

Outside of burgeoning rookie Stefon Diggs, there are copiousness of positively top-tier wideouts in that group.

Expect him to give a Patriots’ cornerbacks all they can hoop on a outside.

5. Stout defensive linemen

During a initial month of a season, big-ticket defensive line pieces Ndamukong Suh and Cameron Wake perceived their satisfactory share of critique for miss of altogether prolongation as a Dolphins got out to a 1-3 start.

But with dual loyal winning performances, both Suh and Wake have ascended to their standard spots nearby a tip of their particular positions.

Though not scarcely as obvious or glamorized, New England boasts dual disruptive defensive front 7 players too — interior pass rusher Dominique Easley and do-everything linebacker Dont’a Hightower.

Easley was a team’s first-round collect in 2014, and Hightower, was a Patriots’ first-round collect in 2012. While Jamie Collins has justly perceived copiousness of prominence during his initial dual NFL seasons, Hightower has been impossibly unchanging for a while now. He’s carrying his best year as a pro in 2015.

Losing Darrelle Revis, Brandon Browner and Kyle Arrington might have harm a Patriots’ secondary, though a participation of Easley and Hightower has positively bolstered their wickedness within a initial dual levels of defense.

Ndamukong Suh and Cameron Wake have finished their precence felt newly — a contingency for Thursday. (USATSI)

Prediction: Patriots 27, Dolphins 17

The Dolphins have been invigorated by halt conduct manager Dan Campbell a past dual weeks, though we can’t forget that they played a Tennessee Titans (1-5) and a untimely Houston Texans (2-5).

Are they improved now than they were a month ago? Sure, though roving to Gillette Stadium to take on a dominant Patriots will be a ultimate litmus exam for Miami.

Because of a injuries New England is laboring by on a descent line, some early vigour of Tom Brady will lead to a delayed start for Bill Belichick’s club.

But we don’t design a Dolphins to burst out to a outrageous lead either, especially given a Patriots invulnerability is most stouter than a past dual defenses Miami has faced.

In a second half, a Patriots will find their slit offensively and win a comparatively parsimonious game.

Topics: A.J. Green, Amari Cooper, Antonio Brown, Bell,Le’Veon, Brandon Browner, Cameron Wake, Darrelle Revis, Dion Lewis, Dominique Easley, Hightower,Dont’a, Jabaal Sheard, Jamie Collins, Jarvis Landry, Joseph Randle, Julian Edelman, Julio Jones, Keenan Allen, Kyle Arrington, Lamar Miller, Larry Fitzgerald, Marshawn Lynch, Ndamukong Suh, Odell Beckham, Rishard Matthews, Rob Gronkowski, Ryan Tannehill, Stefon Diggs, Todd Gurley, Tom Brady, Miami Dolphins, New England Patriots, NFL

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